Monday, September 26, 2011

Bet Sizing in No-Limit: River Bets

Yesterday, we talked about how your river bets should -- on average -- be for a smaller percentage of the pot size than your bets on earlier streets. But that doesn't mean that all of your river bets should be for the same size.

Of course, we don't really want to adjust the size of our river bets based on the strength of our hand -- but we can make adjustments based on how strong we think our opponents' hand is! If we have hand we want to make a value bet with, and we think our opponent has something strong enough to call us, but not something they'll be happy about calling with, make a small bet; that's probably all they'll be willing to call. Meanwhile, if we think there's a good chance that our opponent has a strong hand (but one we can beat), betting more than we normally would makes sense, as our opponent is likely to call regardless of our bet size, within reason.

In the long run, despite the fact that you aren't considering the strength of your hand when sizing bets, you'll get more money out of your monsters by sizing your bets according to the perceived strength of your opponents. You'll be extracting the maximum from opponents who hold strong hands, while frequently getting smaller bets from opponents who have marginal holdings.

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