Tuesday, October 4, 2011

When an Out Isn't an Out

Early in our poker careers, we learn how to count outs -- the cards that will make our hand, and, hopefully, make us a winner. We learn, for instance, that there are eight cards that can make an open-ended straight draw, and then use that to calculate our odds when considering whether or not to call bets.

However, it's important to remember that unless you are drawing to the nuts, you need to discount your odds. If you won't always win when you hit an out, it's not nearly as valuable; in fact, it can sometimes be a very expensive "out" if it commits you to a pot against someone with an even stronger hand. Keep that in mind when counting outs -- it may be enough to keep you out of some hands where your odds initially seem just barely good enough to justify a call.

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